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 bimodal distribution


Beyond the Mean: Distribution-Aware Loss Functions for Bimodal Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Despite the strong predictive performance achieved by machine learning models across many application domains, assessing their trustworthiness through reliable estimates of predictive confidence remains a critical challenge. This issue arises in scenarios where the likelihood of error inferred from learned representations follows a bimodal distribution, resulting from the coexistence of confident and ambiguous predictions. Standard regression approaches often struggle to adequately express this predictive uncertainty, as they implicitly assume unimodal Gaussian noise, leading to mean-collapse behavior in such settings. Although Mixture Density Networks (MDNs) can represent different distributions, they suffer from severe optimization instability. We propose a family of distribution-aware loss functions integrating normalized RMSE with Wasserstein and Cramér distances. When applied to standard deep regression models, our approach recovers bimodal distributions without the volatility of mixture models. Validated across four experimental stages, our results show that the proposed Wasserstein loss establishes a new Pareto efficiency frontier: matching the stability of standard regression losses like MSE in unimodal tasks while reducing Jensen-Shannon Divergence by 45% on complex bimodal datasets. Our framework strictly dominates MDNs in both fidelity and robustness, offering a reliable tool for aleatoric uncertainty estimation in trustworthy AI systems.


Evaluation of Traffic Signals for Daily Traffic Pattern

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The turning movement count data is crucial for traffic signal design, intersection geometry planning, traffic flow, and congestion analysis. This work proposes three methods called dynamic, static, and hybrid configuration for TMC-based traffic signals. A vision-based tracking system is developed to estimate the TMC of six intersections in Las Vegas using traffic cameras. The intersection design, route (e.g. vehicle movement directions), and signal configuration files with compatible formats are synthesized and imported into Simulation of Urban MObility for signal evaluation with realistic data. The initial experimental results based on estimated waiting times indicate that the cycle time of 90 and 120 seconds works best for all intersections. In addition, four intersections show better performance for dynamic signal timing configuration, and the other two with lower performance have a lower ratio of total vehicle count to total lanes of the intersection leg. Since daily traffic flow often exhibits a bimodal pattern, we propose a hybrid signal method that switches between dynamic and static methods, adapting to peak and off-peak traffic conditions for improved flow management. So, a built-in traffic generator module creates vehicle routes for 4 hours, including peak hours, and a signal design module produces signal schedule cycles according to static, dynamic, and hybrid methods. Vehicle count distributions are weighted differently for each zone (i.e., West, North, East, South) to generate diverse traffic patterns. The extended experimental results for 6 intersections with 4 hours of simulation time imply that zone-based traffic pattern distributions affect signal design selection. Although the static method works great for evenly zone-based traffic distribution, the hybrid method works well for highly weighted traffic at intersection pairs of the West-East and North-South zones.


PTQ4SAM: Post-Training Quantization for Segment Anything

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Segment Anything Model (SAM) has achieved impressive performance in many computer vision tasks. However, as a large-scale model, the immense memory and computation costs hinder its practical deployment. In this paper, we propose a post-training quantization (PTQ) framework for Segment Anything Model, namely PTQ4SAM. First, we investigate the inherent bottleneck of SAM quantization attributed to the bimodal distribution in post-Key-Linear activations. We analyze its characteristics from both per-tensor and per-channel perspectives, and propose a Bimodal Integration strategy, which utilizes a mathematically equivalent sign operation to transform the bimodal distribution into a relatively easy-quantized normal distribution offline. Second, SAM encompasses diverse attention mechanisms (i.e., self-attention and two-way cross-attention), resulting in substantial variations in the post-Softmax distributions. Therefore, we introduce an Adaptive Granularity Quantization for Softmax through searching the optimal power-of-two base, which is hardware-friendly. Extensive experimental results across various vision tasks (instance segmentation, semantic segmentation and object detection), datasets and model variants show the superiority of PTQ4SAM. For example, when quantizing SAM-L to 6-bit, we achieve lossless accuracy for instance segmentation, about 0.5\% drop with theoretical 3.9$\times$ acceleration. The code is available at \url{https://github.com/chengtao-lv/PTQ4SAM}.


Combining propensity score methods with variational autoencoders for generating synthetic data in presence of latent sub-groups

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In settings requiring synthetic data generation based on a clinical cohort, e.g., due to data protection regulations, heterogeneity across individuals might be a nuisance that we need to control or faithfully preserve. The sources of such heterogeneity might be known, e.g., as indicated by sub-groups labels, or might be unknown and thus reflected only in properties of distributions, such as bimodality or skewness. We investigate how such heterogeneity can be preserved and controlled when obtaining synthetic data from variational autoencoders (VAEs), i.e., a generative deep learning technique that utilizes a low-dimensional latent representation. To faithfully reproduce unknown heterogeneity reflected in marginal distributions, we propose to combine VAEs with pre-transformations. For dealing with known heterogeneity due to sub-groups, we complement VAEs with models for group membership, specifically from propensity score regression. The evaluation is performed with a realistic simulation design that features sub-groups and challenging marginal distributions. The proposed approach faithfully recovers the latter, compared to synthetic data approaches that focus purely on marginal distributions. Propensity scores add complementary information, e.g., when visualized in the latent space, and enable sampling of synthetic data with or without sub-group specific characteristics. We also illustrate the proposed approach with real data from an international stroke trial that exhibits considerable distribution differences between study sites, in addition to bimodality. These results indicate that describing heterogeneity by statistical approaches, such as propensity score regression, might be more generally useful for complementing generative deep learning for obtaining synthetic data that faithfully reflects structure from clinical cohorts.


A Hitchhiker's Guide to Statistical Comparisons of Reinforcement Learning Algorithms

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Consistently checking the statistical significance of experimental results is the first mandatory step towards reproducible science. This paper presents a hitchhiker's guide to rigorous comparisons of reinforcement learning algorithms. After introducing the concepts of statistical testing, we review the relevant statistical tests and compare them empirically in terms of false positive rate and statistical power as a function of the sample size (number of seeds) and effect size. We further investigate the robustness of these tests to violations of the most common hypotheses (normal distributions, same distributions, equal variances). Beside simulations, we compare empirical distributions obtained by running Soft-Actor Critic and Twin-Delayed Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient on Half-Cheetah. We conclude by providing guidelines and code to perform rigorous comparisons of RL algorithm performances.


Adapting deep generative approaches for getting synthetic data with realistic marginal distributions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Synthetic data generation is of great interest in diverse applications, such as for privacy protection. Deep generative models, such as variational autoencoders (VAEs), are a popular approach for creating such synthetic datasets from original data. Despite the success of VAEs, there are limitations when it comes to the bimodal and skewed marginal distributions. These deviate from the unimodal symmetric distributions that are encouraged by the normality assumption typically used for the latent representations in VAEs. While there are extensions that assume other distributions for the latent space, this does not generally increase flexibility for data with many different distributions. Therefore, we propose a novel method, pre-transformation variational autoencoders (PTVAEs), to specifically address bimodal and skewed data, by employing pre-transformations at the level of original variables. Two types of transformations are used to bring the data close to a normal distribution by a separate parameter optimization for each variable in a dataset. We compare the performance of our method with other state-of-the-art methods for synthetic data generation. In addition to the visual comparison, we use a utility measurement for a quantitative evaluation. The results show that the PTVAE approach can outperform others in both bimodal and skewed data generation. Furthermore, the simplicity of the approach makes it usable in combination with other extensions of VAE.


Revisiting Agglomerative Clustering

arXiv.org Machine Learning

An important issue in clustering concerns the avoidance of false positives while searching for clusters. This work addressed this problem considering agglomerative methods, namely single, average, median, complete, centroid and Ward's approaches applied to unimodal and bimodal datasets obeying uniform, gaussian, exponential and power-law distributions. A model of clusters was also adopted, involving a higher density nucleus surrounded by a transition, followed by outliers. This paved the way to defining an objective means for identifying the clusters from dendrograms. The adopted model also allowed the relevance of the clusters to be quantified in terms of the height of their subtrees. The obtained results include the verification that many methods detect two clusters in unimodal data. The single-linkage method was found to be more resilient to false positives. Also, several methods detected clusters not corresponding directly to the nucleus. The possibility of identifying the type of distribution was also investigated.


A study of the fixed points and spurious solutions of the FastICA algorithm

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The FastICA algorithm is one of the most popular iterative algorithms in the domain of linear independent component analysis. Despite its success, it is observed that FastICA occasionally yields outcomes that do not correspond to any true solutions (known as demixing vectors) of the ICA problem. These outcomes are commonly referred to as spurious solutions. Although FastICA is among the most extensively studied ICA algorithms, the occurrence of spurious solutions are not yet completely understood by the community. In this contribution, we aim at addressing this issue. In the first part of this work, we are interested in the relationship between demixing vectors, local optimizers of the contrast function and (attractive or unattractive) fixed points of FastICA algorithm. Characterizations of these sets are given, and an inclusion relationship is discovered. In the second part, we investigate the possible scenarios where spurious solutions occur. We show that when certain bimodal Gaussian mixtures distributions are involved, there may exist spurious solutions that are attractive fixed points of FastICA. In this case, popular nonlinearities such as "gauss" or "tanh" tend to yield spurious solutions, whereas only "kurtosis" may give reliable results. Some advices are given for the practical choice of nonlinearity function.